Turkey’s consumer confidence index goes up in November

ANKARA

The consumer confidence index in Turkey went up month-on-month in November, according to official data released by the Turkish Statistical Institute (TÜİK) on Nov. 22.

The index rose 4 percent to hit 59.6 this month from 57.3 points in October, TÜİK’s report said.

The consumer confidence index is seen as a vital gauge of the overall health of the economy, indicating people’s sentiments about spending their money, which in turn gives clues about economic vitality. It indicates an optimistic outlook when the index is above 100, but it indicates a pessimistic outlook when it is below 100.

All sub-indices of the main index, except number of people unemployed expectation index, were higher in the month.

The general economic situation expectations index saw the largest improvement, up 6.2 percent to reach 77.4 points.         

The financial situation expectations of households index was the  second-best performer, rising by 5.4 percent from last month to 77.5 points in November.

The probability of saving index - indicating people’s expectation of earning enough money to save - rose 4.8 percent to reach 20.1 points from 19.2 in October.

The number of people unemployed anticipation index - a gauge of sentiment about the health of the labor market - dropped 0.3 percent compared to last month, at 63.4 points.

'Positive political developments'

Enver Erkan, an economist at GCM Menkul Kıymetler, told Anadolu Agency that the improvement in November figure is stemmed from positive political and geopolitical developments.

“Decline and stabilization in exchange rates led to more confidence from the consumer side,” Erkan said.         

Erkan said that consumers still hesitate from inflation and high interest rates in the country.

Turkey’s annual inflation stood at 25.24 percent in October, according to the latest data from the TÜİK.

The figure rose 0.72 percentage points last month from 24.52 percent in September. Currently, the one-week repo rate - also known as the Central Bank’s policy rate - stands at 24 percent.         

Erken said tax cuts would support the domestic demand for automobile and white goods, until the end of the year.

“This could limit the economic slowdown a bit which is expected in the last quarter,” he added.